Los toros y los osos: The best stocks of 2014

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Coca-Cola

52-week high: $43.43

52-week low: $35.58

Annual revenues: $47.3 billion

Projected 2014 earnings growth: 6.7 percent

Coca-Cola (KO) has trailed the market significantly for the past two years, under fire from competitors as well as from policymakers who want citizens to slim down.

But columnist Andrew Feinberg calls it a classic “faith-based” stock — a great company that, by means that can’t be predicted, always seems to bounce back. And the 2.8 percent yield will quench your thirst while you wait for the price to rise.

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Bank of America

52-week high: $15.79

52-week low: $9.38

Annual revenues: $80.7 billion

Projected 2014 earnings growth: 50.6 percent

Many investors have shunned Bank of America (BAC) because of problems related to Countrywide, which it bought in 2008. But those troubles now seem to be winding down. BofA’s deposits are growing, and the quality of its loans is improving. Columnist Andrew Feinberg says the stock could easily rise 50 percent over the coming year.

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Honeywell International

52-week high: $89.52

52-week low: $59.85

Annual revenues: $38.3 billion

Projected 2014 earnings growth: 12.3 percent

In 2010, when Honeywell International (HON) announced an ambitious five-year growth plan, analysts were skeptical. They acknowledged that the firm, which makes everything from thermostats to jet engines, was well run, but they thought it couldn’t wring enough efficiencies from its operations to overcome a struggling economy. But Honeywell hit all of its goals and has turned skeptics into believers, says Stifel Nicolaus analyst Jeff Osborne. Now, Honeywell is set to put out a new five-year plan that he thinks will be even more ambitious—and will help boost the stock.

 

Coca-Cola
52 semanas: $ 43.43

52 semanas: $ 35.58

Ingresos anuales: 47,3 mil millones dólares

Crecimiento proyectado de ganancias 2014: 6,7 por ciento

Coca-Cola (KO) ha arrastrado al mercado de manera significativa durante los últimos dos años, bajo el fuego de los competidores, así como de los responsables políticos que quieren los ciudadanos para bajar de peso.

Pero el columnista Andrew Feinberg llama un clásico de valores “basada en la fe” – una gran empresa que, por medios que no se pueden predecir, siempre parece recuperarse. Y el rendimiento de un 2,8 por ciento va a saciar su sed mientras espera a que el precio suba.

 

Bank of America
52 semanas: $ 15.79

52 semanas: $ 9.38

Ingresos anuales: $ 80.7 mil millones

Crecimiento proyectado de ganancias 2014: 50,6 por ciento

Muchos inversores han evitado Bank of America (BAC) a causa de problemas relacionados con Countrywide, que compró en 2008. Pero esos problemas ahora parecen estar terminando. Depósitos de BofA están creciendo, y la calidad de sus préstamos está mejorando. El columnista Andrew Feinberg dice que la acción podría subir fácilmente un 50 por ciento durante el próximo año.

52 semanas: $ 89.52

52 semanas: $ 59.85

Ingresos anuales: $ 38,3 mil millones

Crecimiento proyectado de ganancias 2014: 12,3 por ciento

En 2010, cuando Honeywell International (HON) ha anunciado un ambicioso plan de crecimiento a cinco años, los analistas se mostraron escépticos. Reconocieron que la empresa, que fabrica desde termostatos para motores a reacción, estaba bien dirigido, pero pensaron que no podía exprimir suficientes eficiencia de sus operaciones para superar la difícil situación económica. Pero Honeywell alcanzó todos sus objetivos y ha vuelto escépticos en creyentes, dice el analista de Stifel Nicolaus Jeff Osborne. Ahora, Honeywell está configurado para apagar un nuevo plan de cinco años que él piensa que va a ser aún más ambicioso-y ayudará a impulsar la acción.

Habilidades de hacer oro: Investing strategies

Miami City Buildings at Night

Hedge Fund Strategy – Equity Long-Short

An equity long-short strategy is an investing strategy, used primarily by hedge funds, that involves taking long positions in stocks that are expected to increase in value and short positions in stocks that are expected to decrease in value.

You may know that taking a long position in a stock simply means buying it: If the stock increases in value, you will make money. On the other hand, taking a short position in a stock means borrowing a stock you don’t own (usually from your broker), selling it, then hoping it declines in value, at which time you can buy it back at a lower price than you paid for it and return the borrowed shares.

Hedge funds using equity long-short strategies simply do this on a grander scale. At its most basic level, an equity long-short strategy consists of buying an undervalued stock and shorting an overvalued stock. Ideally, the long position will increase in value, and the short position will decline in value. If this happens, and the positions are of equal size, the hedge fund will benefit. That said, the strategy will work even if the long position declines in value, provided that the long position outperforms the short position. Thus, the goal of any equity long-short strategy is to minimize exposure to the market in general, and profit from a change in the difference, or spread, between two stocks.

That may sound complicated, so let’s look at a hypothetical example. Let’s say a hedge fund takes a $1 million long position in Pfizer and a $1 million short position in Wyeth, both large pharmaceutical companies. With these positions, any event that causes all pharmaceutical stocks to fall will lead to a loss on the Pfizer position and a profit on the Wyeth position. Similarly, an event that causes both stocks to rise will have little effect, since the positions balance each other out. So, the market risk is minimal. Why, then, would a portfolio manager take such a position? Because he or she thinks Pfizer will perform better than Wyeth.

Equity long-short strategies such as the one described, which hold equal dollar amounts of long and short positions, are called market neutral strategies. But not all equity long-short strategies are market neutral. Some hedge fund managers will maintain a long bias, as is the case with so-called “130/30” strategies. With these strategies, hedge funds have 130% exposure to long positions and 30% exposure to short positions. Other structures are also used, such as 120% long and 20% short. (Few hedge funds have a long-term short bias, since the equity markets tend to move up over time.)

Equity long-short managers can also be distinguished by the geographic market in which they invest, the sector in which they invest (financial, health care or technology, for example) or their investment style (value or quantitative, for example). Buying and selling two related stocks—for example, two stocks in the same region or industry—is called a “paired trade” model. It may limit risk to a specific subset of the market instead of the market in general.

Equity long-short strategies have been used by sophisticated investors, such as institutions, for years. They became increasingly popular among individual investors as traditional strategies struggled in the most recent bear market, highlighting the need for investors to consider expanding their portfolios into innovative financial solutions.

Equity long-short strategies are not without risks. These strategies have all the generic hedge fund risks: For example, hedge funds are typically not as liquid as mutual funds, meaning it is more difficult to sell shares; the strategies they use could lead to significant losses; and they can have high fees. Additionally, equity long-short strategies have some unique risks. The main one is that the portfolio manager must correctly predict the relative performance of two stocks, which can be difficult. Another risk results from what is referred to in the industry as “beta mismatch.” While this is more complicated that we can explain in detail here, essentially, it means that

when the stock market declines sharply, long positions could lose more than short positions.

In summary, equity long-short strategies may help increase returns in difficult market environments, but also involve some risk. As a result, investors considering these strategies may want to ensure that their hedge funds follow strict rules to evaluate market risks and find good investment opportunities.

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Hedge Fund Strategy – Capital a Largo Corto

Una estrategia de largo-corto equidad es una estrategia de inversión, utilizado principalmente por los fondos de cobertura, que consiste en tomar posiciones largas en acciones que se espera que aumente en posiciones de valor y cortas en las poblaciones que se espera que disminuya su valor.

Usted puede saber que tomar una posición larga en una acción significa simplemente comprarlo: si los aumentos en las existencias en el valor, que van a ganar dinero. Por otra parte, tomando una posición corta en una acción significa pedir prestado una acción que usted no es dueño (por lo general de su corredor), la venta, entonces la esperanza de que declina en valor, momento en el que pueda volver a comprar a un precio inferior de lo que pagó por ella y regresar las acciones prestadas.

Los fondos de cobertura utilizando la equidad estrategias long-short simplemente hacen esto en una escala mayor . En su nivel más básico, un patrimonio estrategia a largo corto consiste en la compra de una acción infravalorada y cortocircuito una acción sobrevaluada . Lo ideal sería que la posición larga se incrementará en el valor, y la posición corta disminuirá en valor. Si esto sucede , y las posiciones son de igual tamaño, el fondo de cobertura se beneficiará . Dicho esto, la estrategia funcionará incluso si la posición larga disminuye en valor, siempre que la posición larga supera a la posición corta . Por lo tanto , el objetivo de cualquier estrategia a largo corto equidad es reducir al mínimo la exposición al mercado en general, y el beneficio de un cambio en la diferencia , o spread , entre dos poblaciones.

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Esto puede sonar complicado , así que vamos a ver un ejemplo hipotético. Digamos que un fondo de cobertura toma una posición larga $ 1000000 en Pfizer y una posición corta $ 1 millón en Wyeth, tanto las grandes empresas farmacéuticas. Con estas posiciones, cualquier evento que hace que todas las acciones farmacéuticas bajen dará lugar a una pérdida en la posición Pfizer y una ganancia en la posición de Wyeth. Del mismo modo, un evento que causa ambas poblaciones en aumento tendrá poco efecto , ya que las posiciones se equilibran entre sí . Por lo tanto, el riesgo de mercado es mínimo. ¿Por qué , entonces, sería un gestor de cartera tomar una posición? Debido a que él o ella piensa que Pfizer obtendrá mejores resultados que Wyeth.

Equidad estrategias de largo-corto , como el descrito , que mantenga la misma cantidad en dólares de las posiciones largas y cortas , se llaman estrategias neutrales de mercado. Pero no todos los de renta variable estrategias long-short son de mercado neutral. Algunos gestores de fondos de cobertura se mantienen un sesgo mucho tiempo, como es el caso de los llamados ” 130/30 ” estrategias . Con estas estrategias , los hedge funds tienen una exposición del 130% a las posiciones largas y la exposición 30 % a las posiciones cortas . También se utilizan otras estructuras , tales como 120 % de largo y 20 % a corto . ( Fondos de cobertura Pocos tienen un sesgo de corto a largo plazo , ya que los mercados de acciones tienden a subir con el tiempo. )

Equidad gerentes largo-corto también se pueden distinguir por el mercado geográfico en el que invierten , el sector en el que invierten ( , cuidado de la salud financiera o de la tecnología , por ejemplo) o su estilo de inversión (valor o cuantitativa , por ejemplo). Compra y venta de dos acciones -por ejemplo , relacionados con dos poblaciones de la misma región o industria – que se llama un modelo de ” comercio emparejado ” . Puede limitar el riesgo a un subconjunto específico del mercado en lugar de la del mercado en general.

Equidad estrategias long-short han sido utilizados por inversionistas sofisticados , como las instituciones , desde hace años. Se convirtieron en cada vez más popular entre los inversores individuales como las estrategias tradicionales luchaban en el mercado a la baja más reciente, destacando la necesidad de los inversores a considerar la ampliación de su cartera en soluciones financieras innovadoras.

Equidad estrategias a largo cortas no están exentos de riesgos. Estas estrategias tienen todos los riesgos genéricos de fondos de cobertura : Por ejemplo, los fondos de cobertura por lo general no son tan líquidos como fondos de inversión, lo que significa que es más difícil de vender acciones , las estrategias que utilizan podrían dar lugar a pérdidas significativas , y que pueden tener altas tarifas . Adicionalmente , la equidad estrategias long-short tienen algunos riesgos únicos. La principal es que el gestor de la cartera debe predecir correctamente el comportamiento relativo de dos poblaciones , lo que puede ser difícil. Otro riesgo resulta de lo que se conoce en la industria como ” falta de coincidencia beta . ” Si bien esto es más complicado que podemos explicar en detalle aquí, en esencia , significa que.

cuando el mercado de valores disminuye drásticamente , las posiciones largas podrían perder más de las posiciones cortas .

En resumen , la equidad estrategias a largo cortos pueden ayudar a aumentar la rentabilidad en entornos de mercado difíciles, pero también implican cierto riesgo. Como resultado, los inversores que estén considerando estas estrategias pueden querer asegurarse de que sus fondos de cobertura siguen reglas estrictas para evaluar los riesgos de mercado y encontrar buenas oportunidades de inversión .

El puente de espacio y más allá: Google’s Mission to the moon

The X PRIZE Foundation is an educational 501(c)3 nonprofit organization whose mission is to bring about radical breakthroughs for the benefit of humanity, thereby inspiring the formation of new industries and the revitalization of markets that are currently stuck due to existing failures or a commonly held belief that a solution is not possible. The foundation addresses the world’s Grand Challenges by creating and managing large-scale, high-profile, incentivized prize competitions that stimulate investment in research and development worth far more than the prize itself. It motivates and inspires brilliant innovators from all disciplines to leverage their intellectual and financial capital.

The Google Lunar X Prize offers a total of US$30 million in prizes to the first privately funded teams to land a robot on the Moon that successfully travels more than 500 meters (1,640 ft) and transmits back high definition images and video. The first team to do so will claim the US$20 million Grand Prize; while the second team to accomplish the same tasks will earn a US$5 million Second Place Prize. Teams can also earn additional money by completing additional tasks beyond the baseline requirements required to win the Grand or Second Place Prize, such as traveling ten times the baseline requirements (greater than 5,000 meters (3 mi)), capturing images of the remains of Apollo program hardware or other man-made objects on the Moon, verifying from the lunar surface the recent detection of water ice on the Moon, or surviving a lunar night. Additionally, a US$1 million Diversity Award may be given to teams that make significant strides in promoting ethnic diversity in STEM fields. Finally, Space Florida, one of the “Preferred Partners” for the competition has offered an additional US$2 million bonus to teams who launch their mission from the state of Florida.

Terminamos 2013 con otro gran cuarto de impulso y crecimiento. Ingresos independiente de Google subió un 22% año tras año, a 15,7 mil millones dólares “, dijo Larry Page, CEO de Google.” Hemos hecho un gran progreso en una amplia gama de mejoras en el producto y los objetivos de negocio. También estoy muy entusiasmado con la mejora de vida de las personas aún más con el trabajo continuo duro en nuestras experiencias de usuario.

Dow Jones 16,303.34 0.19%
Nasdaq 4,300.86 -0.42%
Technology -0.41%
GOOG 1,212.69 -0.53%
1,212.69

-6.52 (-0.53%)
Real-time:   3:37PM EST

NASDAQ real-time data – Disclaimer

Currency in USD
Range 1,206.22 – 1,224.19
52 week 761.26 – 1,228.88
Open 1,220.34
Vol / Avg. 1.59M/2.46M
Mkt cap 407.72B
P/E 34.22
Div/yield     –
EPS 35.45
Shares 336.05M
Beta 0.98
Inst. own 72%

Source:

Google

Dinero del Cielo: Investing in Facebook

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Facebook (FB) just bought WhatsApp, paying $16bn in cash and stock and $3bn in RSUs. WhatsApp has 450m active users, of which 72% are active every day. It has just 32 engineers. And its users share 500m photos a day, which is almost certainly more than Facebook.

This is interesting in all sorts of ways – it illustrates most of the key trends in consumer tech today in one deal. First, it shows the continued determination of Facebook to be the ‘next’ Facebook. It’s striking to compare the aggressive reaction to disruption shown by Google (GOOG), Facebook and other leading web companies today with how some of their predecessors a decade ago stumbled and lost their way.

  • Smartphone apps can access your address book, bypassing the need to rebuild your social graph on a new service
  • They can access your photo library, where uploading photos to different websites is a pain
  • They can use push notifications instead of relying on emails and on people bothering to check multiple websites
  • Crucially, they all get an icon on the home screen.

Facebook is setting its sights on its next five billion users — even if they don’t yet have Internet access.

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Called Internet.org, the social network has joined forces with Nokia, Qualcomm, Samsung, Ericsson and others to bring web access to the five billion people, primarily in developing countries, that don’t own smartphones or have access to affordable connectivity.

“There are huge barriers in developing countries to connecting and joining the knowledge economy,” Zuckerberg said in a statement. “Internet.org brings together a global partnership that will work to overcome these challenges, including making internet access available to those who cannot currently afford it.”

According to the United Nation’s Millennium Development Goals report, 2.7 billion people or 39 percent of the world’s population will be on the Internet before the end of 2013.

In a proposal entitled “Is Connectivity a Human Right?” Zuckerberg lays out his plans for the organization and its solutions to equipping the rest of the world with the tools to connect with each other and gain access to the world’s greatest repository of information. The “rough plan” focuses on spreading connectivity through mobile devices with three main “levers.”

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The Internet.org announcement comes just a few months after Google’s announcement of its Project Loon, which aims to bring connectivity to the rest of the world through Internet-equipped balloons. Announced in June, Google has begun testing the balloons in New Zealand and more recently in Northern California. Just this month Bill Gates criticized the project, saying that fighting malaria was more important.

Is internet access a fundamental human right? Facebook and a coalition of six major telecom companies believe it is.

On Tuesday night, they revealed Internet.org — a global partnership that wants to put the web’s vast trove of knowledge at the fingertips of every man, woman, and child around the world.

Today, just over one-third of Earth’s population has access to the internet, which means 4 billion to 5 billion others are unplugged. Facebook thinks we can do better.

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Joined by major communications providers like Samsung, Nokia, Qualcomm, and Ericsson, the global initiative will focus on three key challenges in developing countries:

1. Make access affordable. The organization believes this can be accomplished by developing lower-cost, higher-quality smartphones.

2. Use data more efficiently. The goal here is to develop better apps and compression tools to handle data more effectively. Facebook, for example, wants to lower its Android app’s data rate from the current 12 megabytes a day down to just one.

3. Have businesses drive local access. Facebook says this “includes testing new models that align incentives for mobile operators, device manufacturers, developers and other businesses to provide more affordable access than has previously been possible.”

“Everything Facebook has done has been about giving all people around the world the power to connect,” Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg says in a statement. “There are huge barriers in developing countries to connecting and joining the knowledge economy. Internet.org brings together a global partnership that will work to overcome these challenges, including making internet access available to those who cannot currently afford it.”

The effort is just the latest example of a major technology firm seeking to shuttle potential growth opportunities under a humanitarian banner. It’s “a reflection of how tech companies are trying to meet Wall Street’s demands for growth by attracting customers beyond saturated markets in the United States and Europe,” says Vindu Goel at the New York Times, “even if they have to help build services and some of the infrastructure in poorer, less digitally sophisticated parts of the world.” (Facebook growth has largely stalled in existing markets at just over 1.1 billion users.)

Sources:

Seeking Alpha

abcnews.go.com

El emperador de Oro: Carlos Slim King of Mexico

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Carlos Slim

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Carlos Slim Helú  is a Mexican business magnate, investor, and philanthropist. From 2010 to 2013, Slim was ranked as the richest person in the world, but that position has been regained by Bill Gates. His extensive holdings in a considerable number of Mexican companies through his conglomerateGrupo Carso, SA de CV, have amassed interests in the fields of communications, technology, retailing, and finance. Presently, Slim is the chairman and chief executive of telecommunications companies Telmexand América Móvil.

Carlos Slim Helú studied Civil Engineering at the National Autonomous University of Mexico (known by its Spanish acronym UNAM) School of Engineering, where he also taught Algebra and Linear Programming while studying for his degree, meaning that he was both a student and professor.

In 1965, when he was only 25 years old, he began to build the foundations of Grupo Carso. Inmobiliaria Carso was incorporated in January 1966, three months before marrying Soumaya Domit Gemayel, hence the name Carso, which is a combination of the first three letters of Carlos and the first two letters of Soumaya.

Since the 1980s he has been a noted businessman in various industrial, real estate and commercial fields. In 1982, which was a critical time in the history of Mexico with the debt crisis, nationalization of the banking system and the country’s finances nearly paralyzed, Carlos Slim and his Grupo Carso decided to invest heavily and actively. They made diverse investments and acquisitions during this period, one of which was Cigatam, which turned out to be the first and most important because of its cash flow, providing the Group with sufficient liquidity to capitalize on available opportunities and thereby increase itsacquisitions of big companies, including: Hulera el Centenario, Bimex, Hoteles Calinda (today, OSTAR Grupo Hotelero) and Reynolds Aluminio. Some time later the purchase of Seguros de México was closed, and Grupo Financiero Inbursa was formed by integrating Casa de Bolsa Inversora Bursátil, Seguros de México and Fianzas La Guardiana. By 1985, Grupo Carso acquired control of Artes Gráficas Unidas, Fábricas de Papel Loreto y Peña Pobre, and also a majority stake in Sanborns and its affiliate Dennys. In 1986 Minera FRISCO and Empresas Nacobre were acquired, as well as their affiliates, and control of the Euzkadi tire company, the market leader at the time, was also acquired, as was a majority stake in General Tire some years later.

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1. He’s the first ‘World’s Richest’ man from a developing nation
2009 was good to the super-rich in poorer nations: Brazil and Russia each doubled their billionaire counts; and China’s new total (64 billionaires) ranks second only to the America. Slim, as an owner of more than 220 companies in telecommunications, banking, railways, and restaurants (to name a few), saw his fortune swell by $18.5 billion last year.

2. In Mexico, Slim is “Mr. Monopoly”
The Wall Street Journal once quipped that “it’s hard to spend a day in Mexico and not put money in [Slim’s] pocket.” You can barely make a call without doing so: Slim’s phone company Telmex — snapped up on the cheap in 1990 — controls 80 percent of the landlines; its subsidiary América Móbil handles 70 percent of the cell service.

3. He bailed out The New York Times
In addition to owning 6.9 percent of The New York Times Company, Slim loaned the struggling publisher $250 million last year, essentially saving it from financial ruin. Recently, rumors that Slim might buy a controlling stock in the company caused its shares to jump. Slim, however, denies the stories.

4. He loves baseball
While soccer remains Mexico’s most popular sport, Slim has an avid affinity for baseball — especially the New York Yankees. In 1998, he penned an article for a Mexico City magazine about obscure historical baseball figures. And he once agreed to a USA Today interview under the condition that the journalist pass along Slim’s suggestion for “improving” the newspaper’s box scores to his editor.

5. In the U.S., he’d be a “trillionaire”
Carlos Slim’s net worth is equivalent to about 7 percent of Mexico’s GDP.  For Bill Gates to have the same grip on the U.S. economy, says Brian Winter in Foreign Policy, he would have to be worth “909 billion” and own “Alcoa, Phillip Morris, Sears, Best Buy, TGIFriday’s, Dunkin’ Donuts, Marriott, Citibank, and JetBlue.”

6. He’s from a Lebanese family
Julian Slim Haddad, Carlos’s father, immigrated to Mexico from Lebanon in 1902 to escape military conscription. He eventually created highly successful import and real estate businesses worth millions. The family of Carlos’ mother, also from Lebanon, settled in Mexico City at the end of the 19th century.

7. He’s famously frugal 
From a young age, Slim has practiced legedary financial restraint. He still lives in the same modest 6-bedroom home where he’s resided for the past three decades. His cramped bedroom is “the size of a Manhattan hotel room.” And, despite the prevalence of kidnappings in Mexico, Carlos Slim still drives himself to work.

Sources:

Forbes

theweek.com